管中闵

管中闵(Chun某级突增g-Ming Kuan)，1956年8月15日生于台湾台北，祖沿星压脚地袁但籍安徽安庆，计量经济学家来自，台湾"中央研究院"院士、发展中国家科学院院士，台湾大学校长、"台大讲座"教授、管理学院财务金融学系暨研究所讲座教授、经济学系合聘教授，台湾"中央研究院"经济研究所合聘研究员。

管中闵19又明84年毕业于加利福尼亚大学戴维斯分校，获得经济学硕士学位;1989年获得加利福尼亚大学圣迭戈分校经济学博士学位，之后任教于伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-握树声范左苗香槟分校经济系，历任助理教授、长聘副教授;1994年担任台湾大学经济系教授;1999年起历任台湾"中央研究院"经济研究所研究员、特聘研究员，并于2001年兼任该所所长;2002360百科年当选为台湾"中央研究院"院士;2009年担任台湾大学财务金融系特聘教授及"台大讲座"教授，同年创设台湾例大学计量理论与应用研究中心，并担任首任主任;2014年当选为发展中国家科学院院士;20色17年担任台湾大学人文社会高等研究院院长;2019年就任台湾大学校长。

• 中文名称 管中闵
• 外文名称 Chung-Ming Kuan
• 国籍 中国
• 民族 汉族
• 出生地 台湾台北

经历

　　1956年8月15日，管中闵生于台湾台北。

　　1984年，毕业来自于加利福尼亚大学戴维斯分校，获得经济学硕士学位。

　　1989年，获得加利福尼亚大学圣迭戈分校经济学博士学位。

　　1989360百科年8月-1995年7争括爱冷镇怎月，担任伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校经济系助理教授。

　　1994年8月-19原各资包保改获普今99年7月，担任台湾大学经济系教授。

　　1995年8月-1996年7月，担任伊利诺伊大跳消团优维古铁张清学厄巴纳-香槟分校经济系长聘垂细副教授。

　　1997年，获得台湾杰出人才发展基金会"杰按席起云出人才讲座"。

　　1999年6月-2001年8月，担任"国科会"社会科学它后研究中心主任。

　　1999年8月-2004年8月，担任技讨台湾"中央研究院"经济研究所研究员。

　　2001年8月-2007年8月，担任台湾"中央研究院"经济研究所所长。

　　2002年，获得台湾杰出人才发展基金会"杰出人才讲座"。

　　2004年9月-2009年1月，担任台湾"中央研究院"经济研究所特聘研究员。

　　2009年4月-2012年2月，担任台湾大学计量理论与应用研究续始缺满思变抗也华活行中心主任。

　　2015年6月-2018年1月，再次担任台湾大学计量理论与应用研究中心主任。

　　2017年1月-2018年1月，担任台湾大学人文雨排错尔就提袁才角此社会高等研究院院长。

　　2018年1月，被遴选为台湾大学第12任校长;同年获选为"教育部"第21届"国家讲座"主持人。

　　2019年1月8日，就任台湾大学校长。

主要成就

科研成就

• 科研综述

　　管中闵主要研究领域为计量经济学理论、金融计量经济学及其应用、时间序列分析、经济预心测。

　　管中闵主要学术贡献包括首次发现非平稳数据模型的"伪结构变化"问题;证明了人工网室云府星吸鸡终络模型"后向传导机制"的极限性质;提出了非嵌套模型、可逆时间序列模型等多种计量经济模型新的检验方法。

• 学术论著

　　截至2016年12月，管中闵在Journal of the American Statistical Association、Journal of Econometrics等国际学术期刊发表了数十篇论文。

　　学术论文

1. Lee, W.-M., Y.-C. Hsu, an权维地续d C.-M. Kuan, "Robust hypothesis tests for M estimators with possibly non解-differentiable estimating functions,"Econometrics Journal, 18, 95-116, 2015.
2. Yeh, J.-H., J.-N. Wang, and C.-M. Kuan, "A noise-robust estimator of vol欢目析斤束atility based on i错关林己nterquantile r引它卷罗或管移扬均甲anges,"Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 43, 751-779, 2014.
3. Liu, R.-W., C.-M. Kuan, and S. C负居映毫耐hen, "Estimatin组便度要止g Taiwan's true economic growth rates: An application of Kalman filtering" (in Chinese),Taiwan Journal of Applied Economics,95, 1-33. 2014.
4. Kuan, C.-M., C.-C. Hsu, Y.-L. Huang, and S.-H. Hsu, "Taiwan's financial conditions index and its relation to macroeconomy" (in Chinese),Taiwan Economic Forecast and Policy, 44, 103-132, 2014.
5. Hsu, Y.-C., C.-M. Kuan, and M.-F. Yen, "A generalized stepwise procedure with improved power for multiple inequalities testing,"Journal of Financial Econometrics, 12, 730-755, 2014.
6. Lee, W.-M., C.-M. Kuan, and Y.-C. Hsu, "Testing over-identifying restrictions without consistent estimation of asymptotic covariance matrix,"Journal of Econometrics, 181, 181-193, 2014.
7. Hsu, S.-H. and C.-M. Kuan, "Constructing smooth tests without estimating the eigenpairs of the limiting process,"Journal of Econometrics, 178, 71-79, 2014.
8. Kao, Y.-C., C.-M. Kuan, and S. Chen, "Testing the predictive power of the term structure without data snooping bias,"Economics Letters, 121, 546-549, 2013.
9. Hsu, Y.-L., C.-M. Kuan, and S. M.-F. Yen, "Selecting top funds of hedge funds based on alpha and other performance measures," in Greg N. Gregoriou (ed.),Reconsidering Funds of Hedge Funds: The Financial Crisis and Best Practices in UCITS, Tail Risk, Performance, and Due Diligence, pp. 351-366, Amsterdam: Academic Press, 2013.
10. Ying, Y.-H., C.-M. Kuan, C. Y. Tung, and K. Chang, "Capital mobility in east Asian countries is not so high: Examining the impact of sterilization on capital flows,"China Economic Review, 24, 55-64, 2013.
11. Kuan, C.-M. and C.-L. Chen, "Effects of national health insurance on precautionary saving: New evidence from Taiwan,"Empirical Economics, 44, 921-943, 2013.
12. Chen, Y.-T. and C.-M. Kuan, "Optimizing robust conditional moment tests: An estimating function approach," in X. Chen and N. R. Swanson (eds.),Recent Advances and Future Directions in Causality, Prediction, and Speci cation Analysis: Essays in Honor of Halbert L. White Jr., pp. 57-95, New York: Springer-Verlag, 2012.
13. Hsu, S.-H. and C.-M. Kuan, "Estimation of conditional moment restrictions without assuming parameter identifiability in the implied unconditional moments,"Journal of Econometrics, 165, 87-99, 2011.
14. Hsieh, Y.-T., C.-M. Kuan, and H.-A. D. Tsay, and Y.-W. Hsieh, "Evaluating a quality incentive program for TB treatment in Taiwan" (in Chinese),Journal of Social Sciences and Philosophy, 22:4, 485-519, 2010.
15. C.-M. Kuan and H.-Y. Lin, "An encompassing test for non-nested quantile regression models,"Economics Letters, 107, 257-260, 2010.
16. P.-H. Hsu, Y.-C. Hsu, and C.-M. Kuan, "Testing the predictive ability of technical analysis using a new stepwise test without data snooping bias,"Journal of Empirical Finance, 17, 471-484, 2010.
17. 庄惠菁, 管中闵. 以无资料窥探的检定分析共同基金绩效[J]. 证券市场发展季刊，2010, 22(3):181-206.
18. C.-M. Kuan, J.-H. Yeh, and Y.-C. Hsu, "Assessing value at risk with CARE, the conditional autoregressive expectile models,"Journal of Econometrics, 150, 261-270, 2009.
19. C.-C. Chuang, C.-M. Kuan, and H.-Y. Lin, "Causality in quantiles and dynamic stock return-volume relations,"Journal of Banking and Finance,33, 1351-1360, 2009.
20. Y.-L. Huang, C.-H. Huang and C.-M. Kuan, Re-examining the permanent income hypothesis with uncertainty in permanent and transitory innovation states,"Journal of Macroeconomics, 30, 1816-1836, 2008.
21. C.-M. Kuan, "Artificial neural networks,"in New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, S. N. Durlauf and L. E. Blume (eds.), Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.
22. C.-M. Kuan and Y.-W. Hsieh, "Improved HAC covariance matrix estimation based on forecast errors,"Economics Letters, 99, 89-92, 2008.
23. Y.-C. Hsu and C.-M. Kuan, "Change point estimation of nonstationary I(d) processes,"Economics Letters, 98, 115-121, 2008.
24. C.-L. Chen, C.-M. Kuan, and C.-C. Lin, "Saving and housing of Taiwan households: New evidence from quantile regression analysis,"Journal of Housing Economics, 16, 102-126, 2007.
25. C.-M. Kuan and W.-M. Lee, "Robust M tests without consistent estimation of asymptotic covariance matrix,"Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101, 1264- 1275, 2006.
26. 王心妙, 管中闵, 罗纪琼. 产妇个人特质与妊娠状况对新生儿体重的影响[J]. 台湾公共卫生杂志，2006, 25(6):474-481.
27. 陈建良, 管中闵. 台湾工资函数与工资性别歧视的分量回归分析[J]. 经济论文，2006, 34(4):435-468.
28. C.-M. Kuan, Y.-L. Huang, and R. S. Tsay," An unobserved-component model with switching permanent and transitory innovations,"Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 23, 443-454, 2005.
29. P.-H. Hsu and C.-M. Kuan,"Re-examining the profitability of technical analysis with White's reality check,"Journal of Financial Econometrics, 3, 606-628, 2005.
30. 庄家彰, 管中闵. 台湾与美国股市价量关系的分量回归分析[J]. 经济论文，2005, 33(4):379-404.
31. 徐士勋, 管中闵, 罗雅惠. 以扩散指标为基础之总体经济预测[J]. 台湾经济预测与政策，2005, 36(1):1-28.
32. C.-M. Kuan and W.-M. Lee, "A new test for the martingale difference hypothesis,''Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 8:4, Article 1, 2004.
33. Y.-T Chen and C.-M. Kuan , "Time irreversibility and EGARCH effect in U.S. stock index returns,"Journal of Applied Econometrics, 17 , 565-578, 2002.
34. Y.-T Chen and C.-M. Kuan , "The pseudo-true score encompassing test for non-nested hypothesis,"Journal of Econometrics, 106 , 271-295, 2002.
35. C.-M. Kuan and M.-Y. Chen, "Response surfaces of MOSUM critical values,"Applied Economics Letter,9 , 133-136, 2002.
36. 林常青, 洪茂蔚, 管中闵. 台湾短期利率的动态行为:状态转换模型的应用[J]. 经济论文，2002, 30:29-55.
37. C.-C. Hsu and C.-M. Kuan, "Distinguishing between trend break models: Method and empirical evidence,"Econometrics Journal, 4 , 171-190, 2001.
38. M.-Y. Chen and C.-M. Kuan, "Testing parameter constancy in models with infinite variance errors,"Economics Letters, 72, 11-18, 2001.
39. 徐士勋, 管中闵. 九零年代台湾的景气循环:马可夫转换模型与纪卜斯抽样法的应用[J]. 人文及社会科学集刊，2001, 13:515-540.
40. F. Leisch, K. Hornik, and C.-M. Kuan, "Monitoring structural changes with the generalized fluctuation test,"Econometric Theory, 16, 835-854, 2000.
41. Y.-T. Chen, Ray C. Chou, and C.-M. Kuan, "Testing time reversibility without moment restrictions,"Journal of Econometrics, 95, 199-218, 2000.
42. C.-N. Chen, S. Chen and C.-M. Kuan , "Uniqueness and indeterminacy: the Marshall-Lerner condition and exchange rate dynamics,"Taiwan Economic Review, 28 , 401-408, 2000.
43. C.-M. Kuan, "A note on tests for partial parameter instability in the trend stationary model,"Economics Letters, 65 , 285-291, 1999.
44. 管中闵. 时间数列模型设定的一些问题[J]. 经济论文丛刊，1999, 27:1-17.
45. 周济, 管中闵. 我国第八波景气循环谷底之认定及形成原因之探索[J]. 经济专论，1999, 192.
46. C.-M. Kuan and. C.-C. Hsu, "Change-point estimation of fractionally integrated processes,"Journal of Time Series Analysis, 19, 693-708, 1998.
47. C.-M. Kuan, "Tests for changes in models with a polynomial trend,"Journal of Econometrics, 84, 75-91, 1998.
48. 林向恺, 黄裕烈, 管中闵. 景气循环转折点认定与经济成长率预测[J]. 经济论文丛刊，1998, 2:431-457.
49. L. Nunes, P. Newbold, and C.-M. Kuan, "Testing for unit-roots with breaks: Evidence on the great crash and the unit-root hypothesis reconsidered,"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 50, 435-448, 1997.
50. L. Nunes, P. Newbold, and C.-M. Kuan, "Spurious number of breaks,"Economics Letters, 50 , 175-178, 1996.
51. C.-M. Kuan and T. Liu, "Forecasting exchange rates using feedforward and recurrent networks,"Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10 , 347-364, 1995.
52. L. Nunes, C.-M. Kuan, and P. Newbold, "Spurious break,"Econometric Theory, 11 , 736-749, 1995.
53. C.-S. Chu, K. Hornik, and C.-M. Kuan, "The moving-estimates test for parameter stability,"Econometric Theory, 11 , 669-720, 1995.
54. C.-S. Chu, K. Hornik, and C.-M. Kuan, "MOSUM tests for parameter constancy,"Biometrika, 82 , 603-617, 1995.
55. C.-M. Kuan and K. Hornik, "The generalized fluctuation test: A unifying view,"Econometric Reviews, 14 , 135-161, 1995.
56. C.-M. Kuan, "A recurrent Newton algorithm and its convergence properties,"IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 6 , 779-783, 1995.
57. C.-M. Kuan and H. White, "Adaptive learning with nonlinear dynamics driven by dependent processes,"Econometrica, 62 , 1087-1114, 1994.
58. C.-M. Kuan, "A range-CUSUM test with recursive residuals,"Economics Letters, 45 , 309-313, 1994.
59. K. Hornik and C.-M. Kuan, "Gradient-based learning in recurrent networks,"Neural Network World, 2/94 , 157-172, 1994.
60. C.-M. Kuan and M.-Y. Chen, "Implementing the fluctuation and moving-estimates tests in dynamic econometric models,"Economics Letters, 44, 235-239, 1994.
61. C.-M. Kuan, K. Hornik, and H. White, "A convergence result for learning in recurrent neural networks,"Neural Computation, 6, 420-440, 1994.
62. C.-M. Kuan and H. White, "Artificial neural networks: An econometric perspective" with reply,Econometric Reviews, 13, 1-91 and 139-143, 1994.
63. S. Piramuthu, C.-M. Kuan , and M. Shaw, "Learning algorithms for neural-net decision support,"ORSA Journal on Computing, 5, 361-373, 1993.
64. K. Hornik and C.-M. Kuan, "Convergence analysis of local feature extraction algorithms,"Neural Networks, 5, 229-240, 1992.
65. C.-M. Kuan and K. Hornik, "Convergence of learning algorithms with constant learning rates,"IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 2, 484-489, 1991.
66. C.-M. Kuan and K. Hornik, "Learning in a partially hard-wired recurrent network,"Neural Network World, 1, 39-45, 1991.
67. C. W. J. Granger, C.-M. Kuan , M. Mattson, and H. White, "Trends in unit energy consumption: The performance of end-use models,"Energy, 14, 943-960, 1989.

　　学术专著

人才培养

　　1994年至2013年，管中闵共培养了15名博士研究生和35名硕士研究生，其中15名博士研究生信息如下:

荣誉表彰

社按权会任职

人物评价

　　管中闵是直率的学者型官员，经常跳脱事务官传统思维，从不同角度为台当局提供政策建议。他号称"财经诸葛亮"，缘于其面对经济问题时，总能以开放、灵活的思维提前规划应对办法。 (陈咏江在《两岸关系》杂志撰文评)

　　管中闵的为人和风骨令人敬佩，除了傲人的学术成就，更是少见敢说、敢做、敢负360百科责的优秀技术官僚。 (进族红灯刻气台中市市长卢秀燕评)

电振水下人物事件

　　2018年1月5日倒鲁处弦刚让体包，台湾大学校长遴选委员会选出管中闵为新任校长，本拟于同年2月1日上任。但台湾当局教育部门先后以所谓管中闵"担任公司独立董事""涉嫌抄袭论文""在大陆高校兼职"及遴选程序有瑕疵等理由，对此项人事案迟迟不予核定，甚至要求重启遴选。

　　台湾大学拒绝重启遴选并提起诉愿。台湾当局教育部门2018年12月承黑试占24日宣布勉予同意管中闵担任台大校长，校方安排于2019年1月8日质方田创上任。